Jeff Siegel’s 1/ST Glance: Gulfstream Park – Saturday, March 30, 2024
RACE 1
3-THE JIG IS UP (IRE)
Degree of confidence: B-
• Breezed well, then sold for $400,000 at the 2023 OBS March sale.
• Barn doesn’t win many with first timers, but work tab is healthy.
• Known element doesn’t impress, so let’s try a fresh face at 6-1.
Others to consider: 5-Grog.
RACE 2
5-FLY THE W
Degree of confidence: B
• Tapeta specialist (12 wins) just missed as the favorite vs. similar.
• Consistently strong speed figures; employs an ideal stalking style.
• Rarely misses a beat; rested for five weeks, should fire a big shot.
Others to consider: 3-Spirit Animal.
RACE 3
8-SET
Degree of confidence: B+
• Demolished maidens at first asking over this course and distance.
• Won as the controlling speed; likely to face more early heat today.
• Earned a huge speed figure in victory like a very bright prospect.
Others to consider: 4-Tok Tok.
RACE 4
1-ROTTERDAM
Degree of confidence: C+
• Lightly raced with room to improve and will benefit from inside draw.
• Never worse than second in five starts; just earned career top figure.
• Concern: way since early February and has been scratched twice since.
Others to consider: 5-Just a Photo; 7-Meyer; 8-Fredo; 12-Sir London.
RACE 5
10-IDONEO
Degree of confidence: B-
• Debuting son of Uncle Mo shows three straight bullet workouts.
• Homebred Godolphin sophomore colt lands a cozy outside post.
• All of the previous runners in this field show lower than par figs.
Others to consider: 6-Mindframe; 9-One Sharp Cookie; 7-Ponce de Leon.
RACE 6
2-KERTEZ (GB)
Degree of confidence: B+
• Multiple group stakes placed; makes his U.S. debut for C. Clement.
• Earned European Timeform ratings that make him a fit with these.
• First or second in six of seven starts at this marathon 12-furlong tip.
Others to consider: 6-Tawny Port; 8-Starting Over.
RACE 7
5-TUMBARUMBA
Degree of confidence: B+
• Nosed out in Gulfstream Mile but equaled his career top figure.
• Effective around two turns and projects to employ pressing tactics.
• Always genuine and consistent; first or second in eight of 13 starts.
Others to consider: 6-Steal Sunshine.
RACE 8
7-OZARA (IRE)
Degree of confidence: B
• Was too close to a hot pace and paid for it when missing as the chalk.
• Switches to J. Rosario and is likely to receive the patient ride she needs.
• Two time stakes winner over the local lawn seems set to make amends.
Others to consider: 9-Pharoah’s Wine.
RACE 9
6-OSCAR ECLIPSE
Degree of confidence: B+
• Launches a comeback showing two recent bullet works to have him ready.
• Was fast on figures last summer and could easily be a better type now.
• Has the perfect stalking/pressing style for this elongated sprint distance.
Others to consider: 3-Long Range Toddy.
RACE 10
1-LA MEHANA (FR)
Degree of confidence: B+
• Quality mare from France was Group-1 placed before arriving stateside.
• Trained well for her U.S. debut and should be fit enough for a top effort.
• Lands the rail, has excellent tactical speed; will be prominent throughout.
Others to consider: 4-Surprisingly; 6-McKulick.
RACE 11
4-WAYS AND MEANS
Degree of confidence: A-
• Displayed immense talent in two starts last year; ready to resume her career.
• Can fire fresh (won her debut by 13 lengths); has trained like she is fit and ready.
• Pedigree suggests two turns should be within her range; barn 24% with layoffs.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 12
8-MARKETSEGMENTATION
Degree of confidence: A-
• Away since last summer but shows a healthy series of Payson Park works.
• Can fire fresh (won her debut) and is a perfect 2-for-2 over the local lawn.
• Powerful numbers last year; Grade-1 winner should outclass her rivals.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 13
5-NEVER SURPRISED
Degree of confidence: B
• Lightly raced 6-year-old has finished first or second in 10 of 11 career races.
• Returned off a 15 month layoff to miss by a nose in a strong allowance race.
• Multiple stakes winner faces tougher but is likely to produce a forward move.
Others to consider: 3-Ice Chocolat (BRZ); 4-Big Everest.
RACE 14
10-FIERCENESS
Degree of confidence: B+
• Never know what you’re going to get but his best effort handles this field.
• Sparkling recent workouts; projects to enjoy an ideal pace stalking journey.
• Conquest Warrior is a colt with extreme potential and is the one to fear most.
Others to consider: 9-Conquest Warrior.
